As we delve into the dynamics of international trade in China, it is evident that the nation has shown remarkable resilience and adaptability in the face of various global challenges. An emerging narrative indicates that Chinese foreign trade is witnessing a stabilization in quantity while simultaneously improving in quality. For instance, throughout the first eleven months of the current year, China's import and export volume experienced a year-on-year growth of 4.9%. However, stakeholders are keeping a watchful eye on the evolving external environment, which is increasingly fraught with complexities.
The global economic landscape is projected to remain tepid, with significant markets such as the United States experiencing slowing growth rates and an uptick in protectionist measures across various regions. Consequently, these developments prompt an urgent inquiry: can China's foreign trade endure and thrive amidst such intensified scrutiny?
To understand the underlying strengths that substantiate this trade resilience, a recent exploration into Yiwu—often heralded as the world’s capital of small commodities—illuminates various strategic approaches that businesses are adopting. The findings reveal an impressive infrastructure of supply chains, coupled with a balanced and diversified export structure. Moreover, brands are increasingly integrating into international markets—creating what can be termed as protective moats around contractual engagements. New trade models, such as consolidated shipments and cross-border e-commerce, along with a robust local economy, illustrate Yiwu's solid foundation within China's broader trade ecosystem.
Looking ahead to 2025, many business leaders in Yiwu anticipate that uncertainties surrounding global consumption recovery will present the greatest challenges. Additionally, modifications to import tariffs and trade barriers, especially introduced by the U.S. government, represent significant risks. Nonetheless, the rise of emerging markets and novel trade mechanisms such as cross-border e-commerce provide promising avenues, reinforcing the local economy's adaptability and endurance against trade shocks.
Fang Jianxin, the Deputy Director of the Yiwu Municipal Bureau of Commerce, emphasizes that Yiwu's export market is characterized by its diversity and balance. Current data illustrate that the U.S. constitutes the largest export market for Yiwu, accounting for a mere 13%. Following the U.S. are India with approximately 6%, while the remainder of the exporters, consisting of various nations, hold less than 5% of the market share individually. Notably, from 2017 to 2024, Yiwu's export to the United States saw a consistent growth trend, influenced significantly by the burgeoning cross-border e-commerce sector—the lifeblood for approximately 70% of the goods exported to the U.S. today.
Moreover, the sharing of insights from stakeholders underlines a valuable lesson: the essence of diversification in market strategy. Wang Xin, President of the Shenzhen Cross-Border E-commerce Association, observed that traditional markets are increasingly regulated and competitive. In contrast, emerging regions, such as Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and South America, are prospering with youthful demographics eager to consume. Chinese exports of high-tech products, notably new energy vehicles and batteries, are also positioned favorably for expansion, anticipating robust demand.
One compelling example comes from Huaye Jingbian Co., located within the Zhejiang Free Trade Zone. The company specializes in producing textiles like cleaning cloths and other related products. Its manager, Gong Zhihan, forecasts a potential resurgence in consumer demand among key economies in the upcoming year, particularly for consumer goods. Nevertheless, the looming specter of geopolitical uncertainties, notably tariffs imposed by the United States, poses continued challenges. His sentiment reflects a broader understanding among enterprises that exploring opportunities within neighboring nations and countries along the Belt and Road Initiative could offset any downturn in the U.S. market.
On another front, Huang Changchao, president of the Yiwu Cultural Goods Industry Association, points to the pressures on low-cost competitive products resulting from increased tariffs, echoing concerns about profitability and sustainability in certain sectors. However, Huang champions the inherent advantage of Yiwu's supply chains, urging businesses to pursue independent innovation and enhance product value instead of engaging solely in price wars.
This investing in brand equity strategy is crucial, especially amidst rising costs associated with tariffs. Huang notes that companies should seek to establish price premiums on their brands, thereby enabling a collaborative approach towards absorbing any incremental expenses imposed by tariffs.
The adoption of a global branding strategy emerges as a transformative paradigm for Yiwu’s enterprises. An illustrative case is the cultural products showcased at events in countries such as Indonesia, exemplified during the Indonesia-Asean Stationery and Gift Expo, which garnered participation from thousands of international buyers. As Yiwu enters a critical phase of exporting not just products but brands, the focus shifts towards mitigating domestic market limitations by forging unique identities rooted in Chinese culture.
Encouragingly, the Yiwu City Cultural Goods Industry Association has launched a digital brand service center, offering local enterprises the support necessary to enhance their brands, boost product added value, and solidify logistics and e-commerce connections.
As part of advancing initiatives, the "Yiwu China Small Commodity City" brand export plan was unveiled in September 2023. With a plethora of overseas warehouses and exhibition spaces envisioned, the goal is to cultivate an internationally recognized brand identity. By the end of November 2024, 22 new export projects under this initiative have been executed, showcasing a total of 45 projects.
During a series of interviews, it became apparent that targeted brand exportation strategies will be pivotal for businesses aiming for growth by 2025. For instance, the Zhejiang Kingston Supply Chain Group, dedicated to consumer goods, plans to deepen its strategic footprint in remarkable markets like Russia and Africa, elevating its engagement from 10% to 40%, along with the establishment of local teams and warehouses.
Further demonstrating Yiwu’s expansion ambitions, Huang affirmed plans to establish long-term exhibition spaces in Jakarta while concurrently eyeing ventures in Mexico, Brazil, and Russia, expanding the reach of Yiwu's cultural products worldwide.
In the logistical sphere, the Yiwu International Land Port Group is a hive of activity, with workers busily preparing containers filled with assorted goods, ready for both local and international shipments. Yiwu's innovative approach to trade—initially through market procurement—has now evolved into advanced logistics systems adapting to the needs of e-commerce. This new 'group delivery' model allows for consolidated shipments, aiming to reduce costs and streamline delivery processes.
The increasing trend towards fragmented orders, catalyzed by the rise of cross-border e-commerce, showcases a shift away from traditional bulk purchasing models. The Yiwu International Land Port Group aims to innovate further within this supply space, seamlessly integrating logistics solutions across a multitude of transport modalities and achieving impressive service metrics—over 1,100 export journeys within just the first three quarters of the year.
Innovative methods such as the “cargo consolidation” model, pioneered by companies like Zhejiang Yinghe International Logistics, have seen remarkable success in reducing costs, with a typical freight charge of merely 4.5 RMB per kilogram, a steep reduction compared to prevailing international express costs. Meanwhile, the efficiency of customs procedures has been enhanced, showcasing tangible gains across myriad value chains.
As Yiwu moves into the next stage of this tradevolution, its commitment remains steadfast towards fostering a robust reciprocal exchange network. Shifting the trade dynamics from singular market-based advantages towards a dual-driven model integrating trade and logistics only positions Yiwu's businesses to thrive amid the complexities of global commerce.